Dynamics of Workforce in Iranian National Petrochemical Company

Iranian National Petrochemical Company (NPC) has recently started a fast development. Because of the imbalance in development of NPC, despite of its reputation and history, is not able to recruit qualified workforce. Managers concern the future of the industry as this flow of low qualified human resources accedes to the top of the organizational pyramid. In this paper, a system dynamics model has been used to consider the impact of structural development on human resources of NPC. The results of simulation show that if managers of NPC desire the industry to grow faster than a particular rate, it will finally collapse. It is a quite counter intuitive result. A number of insights have been obtained through the simulations and some practical policies have been suggested and simulated.